Predicted scoreLikely
Missouri
20.0
Georgia
29.9
Georgia win probability: 74%
Margin (Georgia − Missouri): 9.9 (80% range -10 to 30)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:28 PM | 10.3 | 50.1 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:35 PM | 10.3 | 50.1 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:59 PM | 10.5 | 50.1 | 75% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:42 AM | 10.5 | 50.1 | 75% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:24 PM | 10.5 | 50.1 | 75% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:20 PM | 9.5 | 50.6 | 73% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:05 PM | 8.4 | 50.1 | 71% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:20 PM | 7.3 | 47.6 | 68% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:46 PM | 7.2 | 47.6 | 68% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:02 PM | 7.4 | 47.6 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:40 PM | 6.2 | 47.5 | 66% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:45 PM | 13.2 | 47.1 | 81% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:04 PM | 10.1 | 48.4 | 75% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:37 PM | 9.7 | 48.1 | 73% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:15 PM | 9.9 | 49.8 | 74% |