Predicted scoreLean
Wyoming
26.4
UTEP
20.7
UTEP win probability: 35%
Margin (UTEP − Wyoming): -5.7 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 47.0 (80% range 26 to 70)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:39 PM | -2.4 | 42.1 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:29 PM | -2.4 | 42.1 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:45 PM | -2.4 | 42.1 | 43% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:40 AM | -2.4 | 42.1 | 43% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:18 PM | -2.5 | 42.1 | 43% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:47 PM | -2.3 | 42.3 | 44% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:09 PM | -3.2 | 41.1 | 41% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:59 PM | -2.7 | 42.5 | 43% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:04 PM | -2.6 | 42.4 | 43% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:03 PM | -2.3 | 42.5 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:27 PM | -2.3 | 42.5 | 44% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:30 PM | -5.1 | 45.7 | 37% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:54 PM | -5.7 | 44.2 | 35% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:31 PM | -6.0 | 43.1 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:18 PM | -5.7 | 47.0 | 35% |