2026 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2026, 5:00 AM · InfoCision Stadium
Western Michigan @ Akron
Predicted scoreLean
Western Michigan
28.1
Akron
19.9
Akron win probability: 30%
Margin (Akron − Western Michigan): -8.2 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.90% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:25 PM | -8.2 | 48.0 | 30% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:27 PM | -8.2 | 48.0 | 30% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:26 PM | -8.2 | 48.0 | 30% |