2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
Predicted scoreConfident
Oklahoma State
16.5
Kansas State
35.6
Kansas State win probability: 89%
Margin (Kansas State − Oklahoma State): 19.1 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.79% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:15 PM | 19.1 | 52.1 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:19 PM | 19.1 | 52.2 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:51 PM | 19.1 | 52.2 | 89% |