Predicted scoreToss-up
Oklahoma
24.8
Florida
21.4
Florida win probability: 41%
Margin (Florida − Oklahoma): -3.4 (80% range -23 to 16)
Total: 46.2 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:13 PM | -3.4 | 46.1 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:16 PM | -3.3 | 46.2 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:55 PM | -3.4 | 46.2 | 41% |