2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Fifth Third Stadium
Delaware @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
Delaware
22.8
Kennesaw State
27.4
Kennesaw State win probability: 62%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Delaware): 4.6 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:15 PM | 7.0 | 53.4 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:23 PM | 7.0 | 53.4 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:16 PM | 6.9 | 53.4 | 67% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:31 AM | 6.9 | 53.4 | 67% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:58 PM | 7.0 | 53.4 | 67% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:33 PM | 5.4 | 53.4 | 64% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:32 PM | 5.4 | 53.0 | 64% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:20 PM | -2.0 | 48.5 | 45% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:25 PM | -2.0 | 48.6 | 45% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:49 PM | -1.7 | 48.5 | 45% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:50 PM | -1.7 | 48.5 | 45% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:16 PM | 2.0 | 50.8 | 55% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:41 PM | 3.5 | 49.2 | 59% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:06 PM | 4.0 | 50.2 | 60% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:38 PM | 4.6 | 50.2 | 62% |