2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Mountain America Stadium
Colorado @ Arizona State
Predicted scoreLean
Colorado
22.0
Arizona State
28.7
Arizona State win probability: 67%
Margin (Arizona State − Colorado): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:10 PM | 6.7 | 50.7 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:17 PM | 6.7 | 50.7 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:50 PM | 6.7 | 50.7 | 67% |