2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Jones AT&T Stadium
West Virginia @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreConfident
West Virginia
18.7
Texas Tech
38.3
Texas Tech win probability: 89%
Margin (Texas Tech − West Virginia): 19.5 (80% range -1 to 41)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.72% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.58% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:22 PM | 19.7 | 49.9 | 90% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:19 PM | 19.7 | 49.9 | 90% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:51 PM | 19.8 | 49.9 | 90% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:08 AM | 19.8 | 49.9 | 90% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:49 PM | 19.9 | 50.0 | 90% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:11 PM | 20.0 | 49.7 | 90% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:22 PM | 20.8 | 50.0 | 91% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:45 PM | 19.6 | 52.0 | 89% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:20 PM | 19.6 | 52.0 | 89% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:41 PM | 19.4 | 52.0 | 89% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:54 PM | 19.4 | 52.0 | 89% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:11 PM | 17.7 | 54.9 | 86% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:37 PM | 17.8 | 55.5 | 86% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:18 PM | 19.9 | 55.3 | 90% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:50 PM | 19.5 | 57.0 | 89% |