Predicted scoreLean
BYU
22.5
Utah
29.6
Utah win probability: 67%
Margin (Utah − BYU): 7.1 (80% range -13 to 27)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:24 PM | 7.0 | 52.0 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:21 PM | 7.1 | 52.1 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:06 PM | 7.1 | 52.1 | 67% |