Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia
29.7
Ole Miss
28.0
Ole Miss win probability: 45%
Margin (Ole Miss − Georgia): -1.7 (80% range -22 to 19)
Total: 57.7 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:20 PM | 2.0 | 56.5 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:16 PM | 2.0 | 56.5 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:02 PM | 2.0 | 56.5 | 55% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:12 AM | 2.0 | 56.5 | 55% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:53 PM | 2.0 | 56.5 | 55% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:15 PM | 1.8 | 56.7 | 55% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:12 PM | 0.1 | 56.8 | 50% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:40 PM | -1.6 | 57.7 | 46% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:09 PM | -1.6 | 57.8 | 46% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:34 PM | -1.5 | 57.8 | 46% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:56 PM | -1.5 | 57.8 | 46% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:14 PM | -7.9 | 57.6 | 31% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:35 PM | -8.6 | 58.0 | 30% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:28 PM | -6.9 | 57.4 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:54 PM | -1.7 | 57.7 | 45% |