2026 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 AM · Yager Stadium
Buffalo @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreLikely
Buffalo
20.0
Miami (OH)
29.5
Miami (OH) win probability: 73%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Buffalo): 9.5 (80% range -10 to 29)
Total: 49.5 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:16 PM | 9.4 | 49.5 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:11 PM | 9.4 | 49.5 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:42 PM | 9.5 | 49.5 | 73% |