Predicted scoreLean
Florida
24.4
Georgia
32.1
Georgia win probability: 69%
Margin (Georgia − Florida): 7.7 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:58 PM | 10.9 | 49.6 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:10 PM | 10.9 | 49.6 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:36 PM | 10.9 | 49.6 | 76% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:40 AM | 10.9 | 49.6 | 76% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:22 PM | 10.9 | 49.5 | 76% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:21 PM | 11.1 | 49.6 | 76% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:41 PM | 7.1 | 53.3 | 68% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:54 PM | 7.4 | 52.3 | 68% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:32 PM | 7.3 | 52.4 | 68% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:01 PM | 7.2 | 52.3 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:29 PM | 7.2 | 52.3 | 67% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:30 PM | 6.1 | 55.1 | 65% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:00 PM | 8.9 | 55.4 | 71% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:38 PM | 12.5 | 56.3 | 78% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:36 PM | 7.7 | 56.5 | 69% |