2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM · Maverik Stadium
Colorado State @ Utah State
Predicted scoreLikely
Colorado State
23.4
Utah State
32.2
Utah State win probability: 71%
Margin (Utah State − Colorado State): 8.8 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:08 PM | 9.4 | 57.6 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:09 PM | 9.3 | 57.6 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:39 PM | 9.3 | 57.6 | 72% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:41 AM | 9.3 | 57.6 | 72% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:21 PM | 9.3 | 57.6 | 72% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:19 PM | 8.7 | 57.4 | 70% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:39 PM | 6.1 | 59.3 | 64% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:53 PM | 8.0 | 57.4 | 69% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:31 PM | 8.0 | 57.4 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 8.1 | 57.4 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:28 PM | 8.1 | 57.4 | 69% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:28 PM | 5.9 | 57.3 | 65% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:59 PM | 8.3 | 60.4 | 69% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:39 PM | 6.6 | 58.3 | 65% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:37 PM | 8.8 | 55.6 | 71% |