2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Washington @ Nebraska
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington
19.1
Nebraska
28.6
Nebraska win probability: 73%
Margin (Nebraska − Washington): 9.4 (80% range -10 to 29)
Total: 47.7 (80% range 27 to 71)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:02 PM | -1.7 | 48.5 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:04 PM | -1.8 | 48.4 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:11 PM | -1.7 | 48.4 | 46% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:16 AM | -1.8 | 48.4 | 45% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:39 PM | -1.6 | 48.4 | 46% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:29 PM | -1.7 | 48.0 | 46% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:19 PM | -0.6 | 49.3 | 49% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:15 PM | 5.6 | 48.3 | 64% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:51 PM | 5.6 | 48.3 | 64% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:10 PM | 6.2 | 48.3 | 65% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:38 PM | 6.2 | 48.3 | 65% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:39 PM | 9.2 | 47.9 | 73% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:07 PM | 9.0 | 48.6 | 72% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:49 PM | 10.6 | 49.8 | 75% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:27 PM | 9.4 | 47.7 | 73% |