2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Arizona State @ BYU
Predicted scoreLean
Arizona State
20.9
BYU
28.0
BYU win probability: 67%
Margin (BYU − Arizona State): 7.1 (80% range -13 to 27)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:56 PM | 7.1 | 48.9 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:07 PM | 7.1 | 48.9 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:27 PM | 7.1 | 48.9 | 67% |