2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
South Carolina @ Oklahoma
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Carolina
22.4
Oklahoma
25.6
Oklahoma win probability: 58%
Margin (Oklahoma − South Carolina): 3.2 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 71)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:03 PM | 6.3 | 44.2 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:02 PM | 6.3 | 44.2 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:21 PM | 6.4 | 44.3 | 66% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:53 AM | 6.4 | 44.2 | 66% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:33 PM | 6.4 | 44.3 | 66% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:25 PM | 6.2 | 44.2 | 66% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:25 PM | 6.3 | 45.7 | 66% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:03 PM | 6.1 | 48.1 | 66% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:46 PM | 6.0 | 48.1 | 65% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:14 PM | 6.1 | 48.1 | 66% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:42 PM | 6.1 | 48.1 | 66% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:44 PM | 6.7 | 45.1 | 67% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:10 PM | 7.0 | 47.6 | 68% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:54 PM | 5.7 | 46.0 | 65% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:24 PM | 3.2 | 47.9 | 58% |