2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
App State @ Georgia Southern
Predicted scoreLean
App State
26.8
Georgia Southern
31.6
Georgia Southern win probability: 61%
Margin (Georgia Southern − App State): 4.7 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:58 PM | 4.8 | 58.4 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:03 PM | 4.7 | 58.4 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:33 PM | 4.7 | 58.4 | 61% |