Predicted scoreLikely
Auburn
23.1
Ole Miss
31.9
Ole Miss win probability: 71%
Margin (Ole Miss − Auburn): 8.8 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:03 PM | 10.0 | 54.2 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:02 PM | 10.0 | 54.2 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:21 PM | 10.0 | 54.2 | 74% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:53 AM | 10.0 | 54.2 | 73% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:26 PM | 10.0 | 54.2 | 74% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:36 PM | 9.8 | 54.1 | 73% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:29 PM | 10.5 | 54.3 | 75% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:10 PM | 9.1 | 56.3 | 71% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:45 PM | 9.1 | 56.3 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:15 PM | 9.4 | 56.3 | 72% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:42 PM | 9.4 | 56.3 | 72% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:45 PM | 7.4 | 56.3 | 68% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:10 PM | 6.4 | 55.5 | 65% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:54 PM | 8.7 | 54.7 | 71% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:23 PM | 8.8 | 54.9 | 71% |