2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Nippert Stadium
Utah @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLikely
Utah
33.7
Cincinnati
24.3
Cincinnati win probability: 28%
Margin (Cincinnati − Utah): -9.4 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:57 PM | -8.0 | 57.9 | 31% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:06 PM | -9.4 | 58.0 | 28% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:16 PM | -9.4 | 58.0 | 28% |