2026 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2026, 11:00 PM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee
Predicted scoreLean
Kennesaw State
31.0
Middle Tennessee
26.3
Middle Tennessee win probability: 39%
Margin (Middle Tennessee − Kennesaw State): -4.7 (80% range -25 to 16)
Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:01 PM | -4.7 | 57.3 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:58 PM | -4.8 | 57.3 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:03 PM | -4.7 | 57.3 | 39% |