Predicted scoreLean
LSU
26.9
Auburn
20.1
Auburn win probability: 33%
Margin (Auburn − LSU): -6.8 (80% range -26 to 13)
Total: 46.9 (80% range 26 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.90% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:43 PM | 1.8 | 45.8 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:56 PM | 1.8 | 45.8 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:56 PM | 1.8 | 45.8 | 55% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:09 AM | 1.8 | 45.8 | 55% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:04 PM | 1.8 | 45.9 | 55% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:50 PM | 0.4 | 45.7 | 51% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:05 PM | -7.2 | 45.4 | 32% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:30 PM | -6.0 | 43.2 | 34% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:25 PM | -6.0 | 43.2 | 34% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:29 AM | -5.7 | 43.1 | 35% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:02 PM | -5.7 | 44.2 | 35% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:05 PM | -7.0 | 45.4 | 32% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:55 PM | -6.1 | 42.9 | 34% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:22 PM | -6.2 | 45.9 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:17 PM | -6.8 | 46.9 | 33% |