2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Hard Rock Stadium
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Predicted scoreLikely
Pittsburgh
19.4
Miami
32.3
Miami win probability: 80%
Margin (Miami − Pittsburgh): 12.9 (80% range -7 to 33)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:47 PM | 14.1 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:49 PM | 14.1 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:35 PM | 14.2 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:50 AM | 14.2 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:15 PM | 14.2 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:46 PM | 14.1 | 49.7 | 82% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:46 PM | 12.4 | 52.6 | 78% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:44 PM | 14.0 | 51.3 | 81% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:19 PM | 14.0 | 51.4 | 81% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:47 AM | 14.1 | 51.4 | 81% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:57 PM | 14.0 | 51.4 | 81% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:59 PM | 10.7 | 51.6 | 75% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:44 PM | 12.7 | 50.4 | 79% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:10 PM | 13.8 | 49.7 | 81% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:10 PM | 12.9 | 51.6 | 80% |