2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Hard Rock Stadium
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Predicted scoreLikely
Pittsburgh
17.5
Miami
31.7
Miami win probability: 82%
Margin (Miami − Pittsburgh): 14.2 (80% range -6 to 34)
Total: 49.2 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:47 PM | 14.1 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:49 PM | 14.1 | 49.2 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:35 PM | 14.2 | 49.2 | 82% |