2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Dix Stadium
Akron @ Kent State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Akron
23.5
Kent State
24.2
Kent State win probability: 52%
Margin (Kent State − Akron): 0.6 (80% range -19 to 21)
Total: 47.7 (80% range 27 to 71)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:46 PM | -0.0 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:48 PM | -0.0 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:51 PM | 0.0 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:44 AM | -0.0 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:03 PM | 0.0 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:09 PM | -0.2 | 51.6 | 49% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:40 PM | -3.5 | 55.1 | 41% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:32 PM | -4.2 | 54.6 | 40% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:08 PM | -4.2 | 54.6 | 40% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:24 AM | -3.8 | 54.6 | 41% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:07 PM | -3.9 | 54.6 | 41% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:55 PM | -1.9 | 50.5 | 45% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:46 PM | -0.0 | 48.7 | 50% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:22 PM | -0.9 | 50.8 | 48% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:11 PM | 0.6 | 47.7 | 52% |