2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Nippert Stadium
Texas Tech @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas Tech
31.6
Cincinnati
21.8
Cincinnati win probability: 27%
Margin (Cincinnati − Texas Tech): -9.8 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:44 PM | -9.8 | 53.4 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:49 PM | -9.8 | 53.5 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:38 PM | -9.8 | 53.4 | 27% |