2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Nippert Stadium
Texas Tech @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
Texas Tech
31.7
Cincinnati
24.1
Cincinnati win probability: 32%
Margin (Cincinnati − Texas Tech): -7.6 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:44 PM | -9.8 | 53.4 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:49 PM | -9.8 | 53.5 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:38 PM | -9.8 | 53.4 | 27% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:52 AM | -9.8 | 53.4 | 27% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:16 PM | -9.9 | 53.4 | 27% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:43 PM | -9.3 | 53.7 | 28% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:55 PM | -6.9 | 52.8 | 33% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:43 PM | -5.1 | 53.8 | 38% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:18 PM | -5.1 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:42 AM | -5.0 | 53.6 | 38% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:58 PM | -5.0 | 53.6 | 38% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:58 PM | -3.5 | 54.3 | 41% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:45 PM | -6.5 | 53.8 | 35% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:17 PM | -6.7 | 54.4 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:15 PM | -7.6 | 55.8 | 32% |