2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Boone Pickens Stadium
Colorado @ Oklahoma State
Predicted scoreLean
Colorado
22.9
Oklahoma State
27.8
Oklahoma State win probability: 63%
Margin (Oklahoma State − Colorado): 4.9 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:50 PM | -8.9 | 52.5 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:54 PM | -8.9 | 52.5 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:41 PM | -8.9 | 52.5 | 29% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:48 AM | -8.9 | 52.4 | 29% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:15 PM | -9.0 | 52.4 | 29% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:40 PM | -8.9 | 52.9 | 29% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:03 PM | -11.7 | 51.7 | 23% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:31 PM | -4.5 | 51.6 | 38% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:06 PM | -4.5 | 51.5 | 38% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:28 AM | -4.3 | 51.6 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:06 PM | -4.3 | 51.6 | 39% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:09 PM | 2.9 | 48.9 | 57% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:50 PM | 4.7 | 48.7 | 62% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:15 PM | 4.0 | 49.6 | 60% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:22:59 PM | 4.9 | 50.8 | 63% |