Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
29.3
Kansas
34.1
Kansas win probability: 61%
Margin (Kansas − Baylor): 4.8 (80% range -17 to 27)
Total: 63.4 (80% range 38 to 90)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 38 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.55% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.54% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.54% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:46 PM | 4.8 | 63.3 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:53 PM | 4.8 | 63.4 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:43 PM | 4.8 | 63.4 | 61% |