2026 Week 8 · Oct 22, 2026, 11:00 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium
James Madison @ App State
Predicted scoreConfident
James Madison
34.6
App State
17.4
App State win probability: 14%
Margin (App State − James Madison): -17.3 (80% range -38 to 3)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:42 PM | -17.3 | 52.0 | 14% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:46 PM | -17.3 | 52.0 | 14% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:24 PM | -17.3 | 52.0 | 14% |