2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Pittsburgh @ Boston College
Predicted scoreLean
Pittsburgh
28.4
Boston College
21.9
Boston College win probability: 34%
Margin (Boston College − Pittsburgh): -6.6 (80% range -27 to 13)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:28 PM | -6.6 | 49.8 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:36 PM | -6.7 | 49.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:04 PM | -6.6 | 50.3 | 34% |