2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Cincinnati @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
Cincinnati
29.0
West Virginia
26.5
West Virginia win probability: 44%
Margin (West Virginia − Cincinnati): -2.5 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:41 PM | -2.5 | 55.4 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:42 PM | -2.5 | 55.4 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM | -2.5 | 55.4 | 44% |