2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Kansas @ Kansas State
Predicted scoreLean
Kansas
26.0
Kansas State
30.2
Kansas State win probability: 61%
Margin (Kansas State − Kansas): 4.3 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:32 PM | 4.3 | 56.2 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:37 PM | 4.3 | 56.2 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM | 4.3 | 56.2 | 61% |