2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Malone Stadium
Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe
Predicted scoreLean
Louisiana Tech
28.0
UL Monroe
21.5
UL Monroe win probability: 34%
Margin (UL Monroe − Louisiana Tech): -6.5 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 49.5 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:40 PM | -6.5 | 49.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:40 PM | -6.5 | 49.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:08 PM | -6.5 | 49.5 | 34% |