Predicted scoreConfident
Auburn
14.1
Georgia
33.1
Georgia win probability: 90%
Margin (Georgia − Auburn): 19.0 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 47.3 (80% range 27 to 69)
Actual: Auburn 27 – Georgia 24 (margin error 22.0, total error 3.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.96% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.95% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:31 PM | 11.8 | 49.0 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:41 PM | 11.7 | 49.0 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:53 PM | 11.7 | 49.1 | 78% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:01 AM | 11.7 | 49.1 | 78% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:55 PM | 12.0 | 49.1 | 78% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:14 PM | 12.4 | 48.3 | 79% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:54:58 PM | 13.9 | 47.3 | 82% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:06 PM | 14.2 | 47.9 | 83% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:39:33 PM | 14.2 | 48.0 | 83% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:58:48 AM | 14.1 | 48.0 | 83% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:22 PM | 14.1 | 48.0 | 83% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:21 PM | 17.3 | 46.9 | 88% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:36 PM | 17.3 | 46.7 | 87% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:41:27 PM | 19.0 | 47.3 | 90% |