Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri
27.5
Ole Miss
27.6
Ole Miss win probability: 50%
Margin (Ole Miss − Missouri): 0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Missouri 3 – Ole Miss 31 (margin error 27.9, total error 21.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:35 PM | 7.8 | 53.9 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:33 PM | 7.7 | 53.9 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:55 PM | 7.8 | 54.0 | 68% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:26 AM | 7.7 | 53.9 | 68% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:47 PM | 7.8 | 54.0 | 68% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:00:52 PM | 8.1 | 53.7 | 70% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:18 PM | 4.5 | 55.5 | 61% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:08 PM | 2.0 | 55.5 | 55% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:39:29 PM | 2.0 | 55.6 | 55% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:13 AM | 2.2 | 55.4 | 55% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:26 PM | 2.2 | 55.4 | 55% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:17 PM | 4.0 | 55.4 | 60% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:33 PM | 0.3 | 56.8 | 51% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:41:31 PM | 0.1 | 55.1 | 50% |