2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Jones AT&T Stadium
Arizona State @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Arizona State
18.5
Texas Tech
30.9
Texas Tech win probability: 79%
Margin (Texas Tech − Arizona State): 12.4 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:39 PM | 12.4 | 49.4 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:42 PM | 12.4 | 49.3 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:59 PM | 12.4 | 49.4 | 79% |