2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 AM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
App State @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
App State
24.4
Coastal Carolina
25.2
Coastal Carolina win probability: 52%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − App State): 0.8 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:30 PM | 0.7 | 49.6 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:33 PM | 0.7 | 49.6 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:45 PM | 0.8 | 49.6 | 52% |