2026 Week 7 · Oct 13, 2026, 11:00 PM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Delaware @ Middle Tennessee
Predicted scoreToss-up
Delaware
30.2
Middle Tennessee
28.8
Middle Tennessee win probability: 46%
Margin (Middle Tennessee − Delaware): -1.4 (80% range -22 to 20)
Total: 59.0 (80% range 35 to 85)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:34 PM | -1.4 | 59.0 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:31 PM | -1.4 | 59.0 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:38 PM | -1.4 | 59.0 | 46% |