2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
South Carolina @ Florida
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Carolina
23.3
Florida
24.0
Florida win probability: 52%
Margin (Florida − South Carolina): 0.7 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 47.3 (80% range 27 to 70)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:15 PM | 0.6 | 47.3 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:25 PM | 0.7 | 47.3 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:11 PM | 0.7 | 47.3 | 52% |