2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 4:00 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium

LSU @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

LSU

31.2

South Carolina

22.8

South Carolina win probability: 30%

Margin (South Carolina − LSU): -8.4 (80% range -28 to 12)

Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: LSU 36 – South Carolina 33 (margin error 5.4, total error 15.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.