2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
James Madison @ Georgia Southern
Predicted scoreLikely
James Madison
35.4
Georgia Southern
19.7
Georgia Southern win probability: 16%
Margin (Georgia Southern − James Madison): -15.7 (80% range -36 to 4)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:16 PM | -15.7 | 55.2 | 16% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:27 PM | -15.6 | 55.2 | 16% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:31 PM | -15.7 | 55.2 | 16% |