2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Kent State @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreLikely
Kent State
18.1
Western Michigan
31.6
Western Michigan win probability: 81%
Margin (Western Michigan − Kent State): 13.5 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.90% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.82% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:27 PM | 13.5 | 49.7 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:27 PM | 13.5 | 49.8 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:09 PM | 13.5 | 49.8 | 81% |