Predicted scoreLikely
Kansas
22.9
Utah
37.2
Utah win probability: 81%
Margin (Utah − Kansas): 14.3 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 60.1 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:25 PM | 14.3 | 60.1 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:23 PM | 14.3 | 60.1 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:17 PM | 14.3 | 60.1 | 81% |