Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas A&M
22.6
Missouri
24.9
Missouri win probability: 56%
Margin (Missouri − Texas A&M): 2.3 (80% range -17 to 21)
Total: 47.5 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: Texas A&M 6 – Missouri 27 (margin error 18.7, total error 14.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:19 PM | -2.6 | 51.1 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:25 PM | -2.6 | 51.2 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:13 PM | -2.7 | 51.1 | 43% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:46:22 AM | -2.6 | 51.1 | 43% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:18 PM | -2.6 | 51.1 | 43% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:00:25 PM | -2.4 | 51.2 | 44% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:54:16 PM | -5.8 | 47.9 | 35% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:57:44 PM | -2.1 | 46.1 | 44% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:39:17 PM | -2.2 | 46.1 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:58:33 AM | -2.0 | 46.1 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:11 PM | -2.1 | 46.1 | 44% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:08 PM | -1.5 | 47.8 | 46% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:04 PM | 2.3 | 47.5 | 56% |