2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Arizona @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreLean
Arizona
29.9
West Virginia
22.9
West Virginia win probability: 33%
Margin (West Virginia − Arizona): -7.0 (80% range -27 to 13)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:27 PM | -7.0 | 52.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:24 PM | -7.0 | 52.7 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:14 PM | -7.0 | 52.7 | 33% |