2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · InfoCision Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Akron
Predicted scoreToss-up
Eastern Michigan
28.1
Akron
25.0
Akron win probability: 42%
Margin (Akron − Eastern Michigan): -3.1 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Eastern Michigan 25 – Akron 23 (margin error 1.1, total error 5.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:13 PM | -5.3 | 54.4 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:30 PM | -5.3 | 54.5 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:32 PM | -5.3 | 54.5 | 37% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:46:28 AM | -5.3 | 54.5 | 37% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:30 PM | -5.3 | 54.5 | 37% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:00:45 PM | -5.3 | 54.3 | 37% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:54:41 PM | -2.5 | 53.4 | 44% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:57:26 PM | 0.9 | 51.5 | 52% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:38:57 PM | 0.9 | 51.5 | 53% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:58:42 AM | 1.3 | 51.5 | 54% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:36:59 PM | 1.3 | 51.5 | 54% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:11 PM | 0.6 | 50.6 | 51% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:45:56 PM | -3.1 | 53.1 | 42% |