2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · FirstBank Stadium
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreToss-up
Ole Miss
30.6
Vanderbilt
32.4
Vanderbilt win probability: 54%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Ole Miss): 1.8 (80% range -19 to 23)
Total: 62.9 (80% range 38 to 89)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 38 | 0.56% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.52% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:26 PM | 1.8 | 62.9 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:24 PM | 1.8 | 62.9 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:14 PM | 1.8 | 62.9 | 54% |