2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 1:00 AM · Maverik Stadium
Washington State @ Utah State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington State
27.8
Utah State
27.5
Utah State win probability: 49%
Margin (Utah State − Washington State): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:25 PM | -0.3 | 55.3 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:19 PM | -0.3 | 55.3 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:03 PM | -0.3 | 55.3 | 49% |