Predicted scoreLean
Florida
21.0
Missouri
27.5
Missouri win probability: 66%
Margin (Missouri − Florida): 6.5 (80% range -13 to 27)
Total: 48.5 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.90% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:06 PM | 6.5 | 48.5 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:14 PM | 6.5 | 48.5 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:35 PM | 6.5 | 48.5 | 66% |