2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Arizona Stadium
Cincinnati @ Arizona
Predicted scoreLikely
Cincinnati
23.2
Arizona
31.8
Arizona win probability: 71%
Margin (Arizona − Cincinnati): 8.6 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:59 PM | 8.6 | 55.1 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:12 PM | 8.6 | 55.0 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:29 PM | 8.6 | 55.0 | 71% |