2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia Southern
26.1
Coastal Carolina
25.6
Coastal Carolina win probability: 49%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − Georgia Southern): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:01 PM | -0.5 | 51.6 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:08 PM | -0.5 | 51.6 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:47 PM | -0.5 | 51.6 | 49% |