Predicted scoreLikely
Miami
31.7
Clemson
19.2
Clemson win probability: 22%
Margin (Clemson − Miami): -12.5 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Miami 41 – Clemson 13 (margin error 15.5, total error 3.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:01 PM | -7.3 | 54.6 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:11 PM | -7.3 | 54.6 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:26 PM | -7.3 | 54.6 | 32% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:45:56 AM | -7.3 | 54.6 | 32% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:00 PM | -7.3 | 54.6 | 32% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:59:44 PM | -8.2 | 55.1 | 31% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:53:41 PM | -15.1 | 56.3 | 18% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:57:08 PM | -17.2 | 53.5 | 14% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:38:50 PM | -17.2 | 53.6 | 14% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:58:03 AM | -16.9 | 53.5 | 14% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:36:42 PM | -16.9 | 53.5 | 15% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:30:38 PM | -12.5 | 50.9 | 22% |